7 de Febrero de 2009
Usuarios únicos Diarios Vs. Usuarios únicos Mensuales
En su día, me llamó mucho la atención que Google Trends For Web sites ofreciera datos de evolución de audiencia basada en usuario único diario. Me gustó mucho que lo hicieran porque el usuario único diario es una métrica más precisa (que no exacta) que las que lo acotan a la semana, mes, año...
La métrica Usuario único (uu) persiguen la misma información: localizar audiencia única (no repetida) de un site en un periodo de tiempo determinado: diario (24 horas); mensual (28, 30 ó 31 días).
La técnica empleada (sistemas de medición Site Centric) en la obtención del dato es muy simple. Se deposita una Cookie en el navegador del usuario. Esta Cookie envía una Información a un servidor del medidor. Este Servidor deduplica Cookies coincidentes para sacar un dato de usuarios único según el filtro temporal. Se aplican las peculiaridades técnicas de cada herramienta y su sofisticación en cuanto a capacidades y filtros. Y te presentan el dato.
Por lo tanto, la medición censal está expuesta a errores:
• Dos navegadores = Dos Cookies = Dos usuarios únicos
• Borrado de Cookies = varias cookies no reconocidas = varios uu de más
• Navegadores que no aceptan Cookies = No contabilidad
• Capacidad de Servidores = Límites de contabilidad
• …
Cualquier sistema de medición asume errores propios en los datos, de ahí que sean precisos, pero jamás exactos. Se trata, por lo tanto, de aminorar el margen de error lo máximo posible sobre los datos comúnmente aceptados.
Una manera de hacerlo es aceptar y consolidar la métrica Usuario único diario como más precisa, ya que los errores anteriormente expuestos se aminoran drásticamente:

Explicación de la Imagen: Cada ordenador es un usuario único. Cada círculo de color una Cookie Válida para el recuento, que puede llegar al servidor del medidor varias veces en un día/mes/etc.. Cada círculo con franja en el medio una Cookie que no debería computar, pero computa, por múltiples motivos. Los resultados reflejan lo que te mostraría la herramienta vs. el tráfico real. Evidentemente, la métrica usuarios único diario aminora el margen de error en la entrega de datos.
Por lo tanto, la métrica usuario único diario está menos expuesta a presentar datos engordados por la propia metodología de medición empleada. La reducción del tiempo de conteo de tráfico a la que se exponen los servidores del medidor ayuda a esta reducción del margen de error de los datos.
Esta imagen, representaría de foma caótica el funcionamiento. la lógica nos dice que cuanto más abultado es el recuento, mayor exposición a errores tendremos:

Entonces, ¿por qué nos seguimos fijando tanto en el dato de usuario único mensual?
1. El mercado de Internet, desde sus orígenes, siempre ha buscado números grandes para dotar el medio de relevancia cuantitativa en materia publicitaria. De ahí que se busquen métricas potentes (PV en su día, Visitas después, UU mensual ahora). OJD, por ejemplo, Paneliza los datos en virtud de estas métricas mencionadas, más la Duración media de la visita. Esto no quiere decir que no tenga en cuenta en dato de UU diario, que lo presenta en el acta de cada site certificado. Y si lo presentara panelizado??? La métrica ganaría en Importancia.
2. El Panel de NetView, referente de Inversión publicitaria en España, no da dato de UU diario. comScore, por ejemplo, lo da promediado en su panel (Average Daily Visitors `000)
Google Trends For Web Sites propone una nueva fórmula basada en el dato diario. Su mecánica de recuento le posibilita otorgar un dato de usuario único aproximado diario basado en varias fuentes de recuento:
Trends for Websites combines information from a variety of sources, such as aggregated Google search data, aggregated opt-in anonymous Google Analytics data, opt-in consumer panel data, and other third-party market research. The data is aggregated over millions of users, powered by computer algorithms, and doesn't contain personally identifiable information. Additionally, Google Trends for Websites only shows results for sites that receive a significant amount of traffic, and enforces minimum thresholds for inclusion in the tool. + INFO sobre esto
Siempre queda más notorio decir tengo un millón de usuarios únicos que 57 mil uu al día... (como se habló tanto en el caso ADN.es, por ejemplo) pero la realidad del site es lo importante a la hora de hacer Web-Analytics. O sacremos conclusiones de los sites basadas en meras cantidades que pueden hacer mucho daño ante el mercado.
AdriánSN a las 11:35 AM | Referencias 0La verdad es que lo que dices es bastante razonable, sobre todo en cuanto a que una métrica diaria minimiza un poco los errores de contabilización, a expensas de no mostrar unas cifras de audiencia tan grandilocuentes.
Ahora te voy a hacer la pregunta "malvada": ¿en vuestra empresa os favorecen los datos diarios frente a la competencia u os perjudican? Supongo que si tenéis una audiencia bastante fiel, el dato diario no debería ser peor que el mensual. En el caso de sitios web "de paso" (como le ocurría a ADN.es), el dato diario suele parecer mucho peor que el mensual (y, probablemente, el anual sería aun mejor).
Saludos.
falvarez | 8 de Febrero de 2009 - 10:36 AMHola Fede,
Me alegra que coincidamos. Sabes que no hablo de "nuestra empresa" nunca. En este caso hablo del mercado. Creo que para Internet puede ser positiva la utilización de métricas darias, ya que lo equiparas a una coherencia publicitaria similar a otros medios que nos doblan en inversión!
Contestando a tu pregunta: "nunca te bañas dos veces en el mismo site... hay meses y meses"
Por cierto, sobre el dato anual, excelente reflexión!!
Un abrazo, ya te extrañaba, por cierto, tengo una bolsa aquí con un regalo para tí! Va a caducar!
AdrianSN | 8 de Febrero de 2009 - 08:16 PMSabes que, cuando te venga bien visitarnos, te recibiremos encantados :-)
falvarez | 8 de Febrero de 2009 - 11:43 PMNo lo veo Adrian. En lo de que minimiza el error, obviamente, tengo que estar de acuerdo pero, el que ese dato sea más útil para el mercado (como dato básico) solamente me valdría si las estrategias de los anunciantes durasen 1 día. ¿porqué no darlas todas y ordenarlas en función de un índice que las combine?
Por otro lado, otros medios nos doblan en inversión y, muy posiblemente, en el margen de error de sus métricas. Tenemos que darnos tiempo, esto está evolucionando muy rápido.
Hola Panosheer y bienvenido! Ya he visto tu blog: ánimo y perseverancia!!
Es interesante tu discrepancia y argumentación sobre la misma. Pero me mantengo firme. Las campañas podrían durar un día a razón de 1 millón de usuarios únicos... Se trata de dotarle de sentido publicitario en métricas que suenen a las centrales de medios: lectores día, oyentes día, share de un programa ayer, x millones de personas vieron el partido ayer...
Eso anima al anunciante, que debería pensar: OJO, una campaña de tres días en Internet garantizándome buenas posiciones tiene una pegada importante en volumen, al igual que diariamente una inserción en prensa de dos días...que las hay.
Sintonía con el mercado. Pero claro, los únicos al mes son un referente importantísimo... pero hay riesgos evidentes de estar un poco inflado...
Saludos y gracias
El Confidencial: ¿Se miden correctamente las audiencias en Internet? J. Mendiola
http://www.elconfidencial.com/cache/2009/02/14/tecnologia_49_miden_correctamente_audiencias_internet.html
Nota: en los filtros nauscópicos he comenzado a filtrar algunas cookies utilizadas por sistemas de medición estadounidenses...
maty | 15 de Febrero de 2009 - 11:10 AMMerodeando: Usuarios únicos diarios ¿tienen sentido?
http://www.merodeando.com/2009/02/16-usuarios-unicos-diarios-tienen-sentido
Gracias Maty
AdrianSN | 16 de Febrero de 2009 - 02:20 PMInteresante reflexión, a la que me apunto desde el punto de vista de métrica y de transparencia. Pero como alguno ha mencionado ya, veo difícil actualmente llevar esto al mercado publicitario.
Es más, si juagamos a ser buenos como propones, el dato diario refleja mejor la realidad por cuanto no abulta el número de usuarios. En ese caso se me ocurre la siguiente relfexión ¿Qué cifra preferirá tu gestor de cuentas, y por lo tanto tu gerente, llevar a la agencia y/o anunciante, la diaria o la mensual?
Te propongo oficialmente para que la Asociación Española de Anunciantes te de un premio a la ética profesinal y enseñarles el camino, esto, más una frecuencia 1 y acaba del todo con nosotros ;-)
Saludos, Ángel.
aangulo | 16 de Febrero de 2009 - 07:36 PMHola Adrián,
Muy interesante el post, me gustaría plantearte el siguiente esenario: Tus usuarios únicos diarios son 100 y tus usuarios únicos mensuales son 100.
Uno sólo de estos datos no te esta mostrando todo lo que hay en la foto.
Un saludo,
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